NBER COVID-19 Working Papers

March 23

  1. The Macroeconomics of Epidemics by Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #26882
  2. What Will Be the Economic Impact of COVID–19 in the US? Rough Estimates of Disease Scenarios by Andrew Atkeson #26867
  3. The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the “Spanish Flu” for the Coronavirus’s Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity by Robert J. Barro, José F. Ursua, and Joanna Weng #26866

    March 30

  4. Compliance with COVID–19 Social-Distancing Measures in Italy: The Role of Expectations and Duration by Guglielmo Briscese, Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis, and Mirco Tonin #26916
  5. An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine by David W. Berger, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, and Simon Mongey #26901
  6. Human Mobility Restrictions and the Spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China by Hanming Fang, Long Wang, and Yang Yang #26906
  7. Data Gaps and the Policy Response to the Novel Coronavirus by James H. Stock #26902
  8. How Many Jobs Can be Done at Home? by Jonathan I. Dingel and Brent Neiman #26948

    April 6

  9. How Does Household Spending Respond to an Epidemic? Consumption During the 2020 COVID–19 Pandemic by Scott R. Baker, R.A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel, and Constantine Yannelis #26949
  10. The Impact of COVID–19 on Gender Equality by Titan M. Alon, Matthias Doepke, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, and Michèle Tertilt #26947
  11. Macroeconomic Implications of COVID–19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages? by Veronica Guerrieri, Guido Lorenzoni, Ludwig Straub, and Iván Werning #26918
  12. The Coronavirus Epidemic Curve is Already Flattening in New York City by Jeffrey E. Harris #26917
  13. The Unprecedented Stock Market Impact of COVID–19 by Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Kyle J. Kost, Marco C. Sammon, and Tasaneeya Viratyosin #26945
  14. Longer-run Economic Consequences of Pandemics by Òscar Jordà, Sanjay R. Singh, and Alan M. Taylor #26934

    April 13

  15. How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID–19? Early Evidence from a Survey by Alexander W. Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton #26989
  16. Optimal Mitigation Policies in a Pandemic: Social Distancing and Working from Home by Callum J. Jones, Thomas Philippon, and Venky Venkateswaran #26984
  17. U.S. Economic Activity During the Early Weeks of the SARS-Cov–2 Outbreak by Daniel Lewis, Karel Mertens, and James H. Stock #26954
  18. Covid19 and the Macroeconomic Effects of Costly Disasters by Sydney C. Ludvigson, Sai Ma, and Serena Ng #26987
  19. Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during the Coronavirus Pandemic by Hunt Allcott, Levi Boxell, Jacob C. Conway, Matthew Gentzkow, Michael Thaler, and David Y. Yang #26946
  20. Demographic Determinants of Testing Incidence and COVID–19 Infections in New York City Neighborhoods by George J. Borjas #26952
  21. The Geographic Spread of COVID–19 Correlates with Structure of Social Networks as Measured by Facebook by Theresa Kuchler, Dominic Russel, and Johannes Stroebel #26990
  22. How Deadly Is COVID–19? Understanding The Difficulties With Estimation Of Its Fatality Rate by Andrew Atkeson #26965
  23. Triage Protocol Design for Ventilator Rationing in a Pandemic: Integrating Multiple Ethical Values through Reserves by Parag A. Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, M. Utku Unver, and M. Bumin Yenmez #26951
  24. COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty by Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, and Stephen J. Terry #26983
  25. A Simple Planning Problem for COVID–19 Lockdown by Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente, and Francesco Lippi #26981
  26. Firm-level Exposure to Epidemic Diseases: Covid–19, SARS, and H1N1 by Tarek Alexander Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent, and Ahmed Tahoun #26971

    April 20

  27. Covid–19: Testing Inequality in New York City by Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, Ken Teoh, and Martín Uribe #27019
  28. Labor Markets During the COVID–19 Crisis: A Preliminary View by Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27017
  29. The Subways Seeded the Massive Coronavirus Epidemic in New York City by Jeffrey E. Harris #27021
  30. Estimating the COVID–19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem by Charles F. Manski and Francesca Molinari #27023
  31. Did California’s Shelter-in-Place Order Work? Early Coronavirus-Related Public Health Benefits by Andrew I. Friedson, Drew McNichols, Joseph J. Sabia, and Dhaval Dave #26992
  32. Lock-downs, Loneliness and Life Satisfaction by Daniel S. Hamermesh #27018
  33. Economic Policy Incentives to Preserve Lives and Livelihoods by Roberto Chang and Andrés Velasco #2702
  34. Covid–19 Infection Externalities: Trading Off Lives vs. Livelihoods by Zachary A. Bethune and Anton Korinek #27009
  35. Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists by Christopher Avery, William Bossert, Adam Clark, Glenn Ellison, and Sara Fisher Ellison #27007
  36. Risk Perception Through the Lens of Politics in the Time of the COVID–19 Pandemic by John M. Barrios and Yael Hochberg #27008

    April 27

  37. Macroeconomic Dynamics and Reallocation in an Epidemic by Dirk Krueger, Harald Uhlig, and Taojun Xie #27047
  38. Sequential Lifting of COVID–19 Interventions with Population Heterogeneity by Adriano A. Rampini #27063
  39. Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic by Andrew Glover, Jonathan Heathcote, Dirk Krueger, and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull #27046
  40. Labor Demand in the Time of COVID–19: Evidence from Vacancy Postings and UI Claims by Lisa B. Kahn, Fabian Lange, and David G. Wiczer #27061
  41. Internal and External Effects of Social Distancing in a Pandemic by Maryam Farboodi, Gregor Jarosch, and Robert Shimer #27059
  42. A Model of Asset Price Spirals and Aggregate Demand Amplification of a “Covid–19” Shock by Ricardo J. Caballero and 70 #27044
  43. Pandemic Lockdown: The Role of Government Commitment by Christian A. Moser and Pierre Yared #27062
  44. Demographic Perspectives on Mortality of Covid–19 and Other Epidemics by Joshua R. Goldstein and Ronald D. Lee #27043
  45. Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and Mortality in U.S. Cities during the Great Influenza Pandemic, 1918–1919 by Robert J. Barro #27049
  46. Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID–19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries by Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, and Alessandro Rebucci #27039
  47. Estimating the Fraction of Unreported Infections in Epidemics with a Known Epicenter: an Application to COVID–19 by Ali Hortaçsu, Jiarui Liu, and Timothy Schwieg #27028
  48. Tracking Public and Private Response to the COVID–19 Epidemic: Evidence from State and Local Government Actions by Sumedha Gupta, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Shyam Raman, Byungkyu Lee, Ana Bento, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing #27027
  49. Economic Activity and the Value of Medical Innovation during a Pandemic by Casey B. Mulligan #27060
  50. Corporate Immunity to the COVID–19 Pandemic by Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #27055

    May 4

  51. Which Workers Bear the Burden of Social Distancing Policies? by Simon Mongey, Laura Pilossoph, and Alex Weinberg #27085
  52. A Multi-Risk SIR Model with Optimally Targeted Lockdown by Daron Acemoglu, Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Werning, and Michael D. Whinston #27102
  53. Global Behaviors and Perceptions at the Onset of the COVID–19 Pandemic by Thiemo R. Fetzer, Marc Witte, Lukas Hensel, Jon Jachimowicz, Johannes Haushofer, Andriy Ivchenko, Stefano Caria, Elena Reutskaja, Christopher P. Roth, Stefano Fiorin, Margarita Gómez, Gordon Kraft-Todd, Friedrich M. Götz, and Erez Yoeli #27082
  54. When Do Shelter-in-Place Orders Fight COVID–19 Best? Policy Heterogeneity Across States and Adoption Time by Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, and Joseph J. Sabia #27091
  55. Did COVID–19 Improve Air Quality Near Hubei? by Douglas Almond, Xinming Du, and Shuang Zhang #27086
  56. Did the Paycheck Protection Program Hit the Target? by João Granja, Christos Makridis, Constantine Yannelis, and Eric Zwick #27095
  57. Inequality of Fear and Self-Quarantine: Is There a Trade-off between GDP by Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, and Yongseok Shin #27100
  58. Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments by Scott R. Baker, R. A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel, and Constantine Yannelis #27097
  59. Health vs. Wealth? Public Health Policies and the Economy During Covid–19 by Zhixian Lin and Christopher M. Meissner #27099

    May 11

  60. Determinants of Disparities in Covid-19 Job Losses by Laura Montenovo, Xuan Jiang, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian M. Schmutte, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, and Coady Wing #27132
  61. The Value of Health Insurance during a Crisis: Effects of Medicaid Implementation on Pandemic Influenza Mortality by Karen Clay, Joshua A. Lewis, Edson R. Severnini, and Xiao Wang #27120
  62. Covid-19, Shelter-In Place Strategies and Tipping by Zhihan Cui, Geoffrey Heal, and Howard Kunreuther #27124
  63. Effect of a Federal Paid Sick Leave Mandate on Working and Staying at Home: Evidence from Cellular Device Data by Martin Andersen, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Michael F. Pesko, and Kosali I. Simon #27138
  64. The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending by Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27141
  65. COVID-19 and the Welfare Effects of Reducing Contagion by Robert S. Pindyck #27121
  66. The Macroeconomics of Testing and Quarantining by Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #27104
  67. Expected Health Effects of Reduced Air Pollution from COVID-19 Social Distancing by Steve Cicala, Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller, and Andrew J. Yates #27135
  68. COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock by Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, and Steven J. Davis #27137
  69. Is the Cure Worse than the Problem Itself? Immediate Labor Market Effects of COVID-19 Case Rates and School Closures in the U.S.by Felipe Lozano Rojas, Xuan Jiang, Laura Montenovo, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, and Coady Wing #27127
  70. Estimating and Simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for Many Countries, States, and Cities by Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Charles I. Jones #27128
  71. Social Interactions in Pandemics: Fear, Altruism, and Reciprocity by Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia, Nora Lamersdorf, and Farzad Saidi #27134
  72. Transfers vs Credit Policy: Macroeconomic Policy Trade-offs during Covid-19 by Saki Bigio, Mengbo Zhang, and Eduardo Zilberman #27118
  73. The First Weeks of the Coronavirus Crisis: Who Got Hit, When and Why? Evidence from Norway by Annette Alstadsæter, Bernt Bratsberg, Gaute Eielsen, Wojciech Kopczuk, Simen Markussen, Oddbjorn Raaum, and Knut Røed #27131
  74. A Note on Long-Run Persistence of Public Health Outcomes in Pandemics by Peter Zhixian Lin and Christopher M. Meissner #27119
  75. Pandemic Recession: L or V-Shaped? by Victoria Gregory, Guido Menzio, and David G. Wiczer #27105

    May 18

  76. Reopening Under COVID-19: What to Watch For by Jeffrey E. Harris #27166
  77. Accounting for Global COVID-19 Diffusion Patterns, January-April 2020 by Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin, and Joshua Aizenman #27185
  78. When Selling Becomes Viral: Disruptions in Debt Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis and the Fed’s Response by Valentin Haddad, Alan Moreira, and Tyler Muir #27168
  79. The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession by Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, John Grigsby, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Erik Hurst, Christopher Kurz, and Ahu Yildirmaz #27159
  80. Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Outpatient Providers in the US by Pinka Chatterji and Yue Li #27173
  81. The Relationship between In-Person Voting, Consolidated Polling Locations, and Absentee Voting on Covid-19: Evidence from the Wisconsin Primary by Chad D. Cotti, Bryan Engelhardt, Joshua Foster, Erik T. Nesson, and Paul S. Niekamp #27187
  82. Estimating Probabilities of Success of Vaccine and Other Anti-Infective Therapeutic Development Programs by Andrew W. Lo, Kien Wei Siah, and Chi Heem Wong #27176
  83. Bayesian Adaptive Clinical Trials for Anti‐Infective Therapeutics during Epidemic Outbreaks by Shomesh Chaudhuri, Andrew W. Lo, Danying Xiao, and Qingyang Xu #27175

    May 25

  84. Were Urban Cowboys Enough to Control COVID-19? Local Shelter-in-Place Orders and Coronavirus Case Growth by Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, and Samuel Safford #27229
  85. The Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment: First Evidence from April 2020 CPS Microdata by Robert W. Fairlie, Kenneth Couch, and Huanan Xu #27246
  86. Reopening Scenarios by David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi, Michael J. Mina, and James H. Stock #27244
  87. The Adverse Effect of the COVID-19 Labor Market Shock on Immigrant Employment by George J. Borjas and Hugh Cassidy #27243
  88. DEglobalizaion and Social Safety Nets in Post-Covid-19 Era: Textbook Macroeconomic Analysis by Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, and Alexander Horst Schwemmer #27239
  89. Bounding the Predictive Values of COVID-19 Antibody Tests by Charles F. Manski #27226
  90. The Macroeconomics of a Pandemic: A Minimalist Model by Luis Felipe Céspedes, Roberto Chang, and Andrés Velasco #27228
  91. US Unemployment Insurance Replacement Rates During the Pandemic by Peter Ganong, Pascal J. Noel, and Joseph S. Vavra #27216
  92. Fatalism, Beliefs, and Behaviors During the COVID-19 Pandemic by Jesper Akesson, Sam Ashworth-Hayes, Robert Hahn, Robert D. Metcalfe, and Itzhak Rasooly #27245
  93. Impacts of State Reopening Policy on Human Mobility by Thuy D. Nguyen, Sumedha Gupta, Martin Andersen, Ana Bento, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing #27235
  94. The Cost of Privacy: Welfare Effect of the Disclosure of COVID-19 Cases by David O. Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Munseob Lee #27220
  95. Financing Vaccines for Global Health Security by Jonathan T. Vu, Benjamin K. Kaplan, Shomesh Chaudhuri, Monique K. Mansoura, and Andrew W. Lo #27212
  96. Panel Forecasts of Country-Level Covid-19 Infections by Laura Liu, Hyungsik Roger Moon, and Frank Schorfheide #27248
  97. Can the Covid Bailouts Save the Economy? by Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh #27207
  98. The Hammer and the Scalpel: On the Economics of Indiscriminate versus Targeted Isolation Policies during Pandemics by Varadarajan V. Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani, and Christopher Phelan #27232
  99. Corporate Hiring under COVID-19: Labor Market Concentration, Downskilling, and Income Inequality by Murillo Campello, Gaurav Kankanhalli, and Pradeep Muthukrishnan #27208
  100. The Persuasive Effect of Fox News: Non-Compliance with Social Distancing During the Covid-19 Pandemic by Andrey Simonov, Szymon K. Sacher, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, and Shirsho Biswas #27237
  101. Can the World’s Poor Protect Themselves from the New Coronavirus? by Caitlin S. Brown, Martin Ravallion, and Dominique van de Walle #27200
  102. Implications of Stochastic Transmission Rates for Managing Pandemic Risks by Harrison Hong, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #27218
  103. Global Supply Chains in the Pandemic by Barthélémy Bonadio, Zhen Huo, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar #27224

    June 1

  104. India’s Lockdown: An Interim Report by Debraj Ray and S. Subramanian #27282
  105. Building Better Retirement Systems in the Wake of the Global Pandemic by Olivia S. Mitchell #27261
  106. Nonlinear Production Networks with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis by David Baqaee and Emmanuel Farhi #27281
  107. Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty by Michael Barnett, Greg Buchak, and Constantine Yannelis #27289
  108. COVID-19 Doesn’t Need Lockdowns to Destroy Jobs: The Effect of Local Outbreaks in Korea by Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, and Yongseok Shin #27264
  109. How Should Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic Differ in the Developing World? by Titan M. Alon, Minki Kim, David Lagakos, and Mitchell VanVuren #27273
  110. Divided We Stay Home: Social Distancing and Ethnic Diversity by Georgy Egorov, Ruben Enikolopov, Alexey Makarin, and Maria Petrova #27277
  111. Effects of Social Distancing Policy on Labor Market Outcomes by Sumedha Gupta, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian M. Schmutte, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, and Coady Wing #27280
  112. Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets by Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai, and Gabriel P. Mihalache #27275

    June 8

  113. Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the COVID-19 Pandemic by Ying Fan, A. Yeşim Orhun, and Dana Turjeman #27211
  114. Short-run Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Worker Transitions by Benjamin W. Cowan #27315
  115. Did the Wisconsin Supreme Court Restart a COVID-19 Epidemic? Evidence from a Natural Experiment by Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia #27322
  116. Trading Off Consumption and COVID-19 Deaths by Robert E. Hall, Charles I. Jones, and Peter J. Klenow #27340
  117. An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies by Jonathan S. Hartley and Alessandro Rebucci #27339
  118. Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs by Charles F. Manski and Aleksey Tetenov #27293
  119. Disparities in Vulnerability to Severe Complications from COVID-19 in the United States by Emily E. Wiemers, Scott Abrahams, Marwa AlFakhri, V. Joseph Hotz, Robert F. Schoeni, and Judith A. Seltzer #27294
  120. Estimating and Forecasting Disease Scenarios for COVID-19 with an SIR Model by Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky, and Tao Zha #27335
  121. The Impact of Covid-19 on Small Business Owners: Evidence of Early-Stage Losses from the April 2020 Current Population Survey by Robert W. Fairlie #27309
  122. Working Remotely and the Supply-side Impact of Covid-19 by Dimitris Papanikolaou and Lawrence D.W. Schmidt #27330
  123. Understanding Spatial Variation in COVID-19 across the United States by Klaus Desmet and Romain Wacziarg #27329
  124. Civic Capital and Social Distancing during the Covid-19 Pandemic by John M. Barrios, Efraim Benmelech, Yael V. Hochberg, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales #27320

    June 15

  125. Implications of Heterogeneous SIR Models for Analyses of COVID-19 by Glenn Ellison #27373
  126. COVID-19 and Remote Work: An Early Look at US Data by Erik Brynjolfsson, John J. Horton, Adam Ozimek, Daniel Rock, Garima Sharma, and Hong-Yi TuYe #27344
  127. Socio-Demographic Factors Associated with Self-Protecting Behavior during the Covid-19 Pandemic by Nicholas W. Papageorge, Matthew V. Zahn, Michèle Belot, Eline van den Broek-Altenburg, Syngjoo Choi, Julian C. Jamison, and Egon Tripodi #27378
  128. Business Reopening Decisions and Demand Forecasts During the COVID-19 Pandemic by Dylan Balla-Elliott, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton #27362
  129. Gender Differences in COVID-19 Related Attitudes and Behavior: Evidence from a Panel Survey in Eight OECD Countries by Vincenzo Galasso, Vincent Pons, Paola Profeta, Michael Becher, Sylvain Brouard, and Martial Foucault #27359
  130. Corporate Bond Liquidity During the COVID-19 Crisis by Mahyar Kargar, Benjamin Lester, David Lindsay, Shuo Liu, Pierre-Olivier Weill, and Diego Zúñiga #27355
  131. Fiscal Policy and COVID19 Restrictions in a Demand-Determined Economy by Alan J. Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Daniel Murphy #27366
  132. Socioeconomic Network Heterogeneity and Pandemic Policy Response by Mohammad Akbarpour, Cody Cook, Aude Marzuoli, Simon Mongey, Abhishek Nagaraj, Matteo Saccarola, Pietro Tebaldi, Shoshana Vasserman, and Hanbin Yang #27374
  133. EMEs and COVID-19: Shutting Down in a World of Informal and Tiny Firms by Laura Alfaro, Oscar Becerra, and Marcela Eslava #27360

    June 22

  134. The Effectiveness of Life-Preserving Investments in Times of COVID-19 by Jules H. van Binsbergen and Christian C. Opp #27382
  135. Social Distancing and Social Capital: Why U.S. Counties Respond Differently to COVID-19 by Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #27393
  136. Misinformation During a Pandemic by Leonardo Bursztyn, Aakaash Rao, Christopher P. Roth, and David H. Yanagizawa-Drott #27417
  137. The Impact of COVID-19 on Student Experiences and Expectations: Evidence from a Survey by Esteban M. Aucejo, Jacob F. French, Maria Paola Ugalde Araya, and Basit Zafar #27392
  138. Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic by David Altig, Scott R. Baker, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Scarlet Chen, Steven J. Davis, Julia Leather, Brent H. Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Paul Mizen, Nicholas B. Parker, Thomas Renault, Pawel Smietanka, and Greg Thwaites #27418
  139. Does Policy Communication During Covid Work? by Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber #27384
  140. What Does and Does Not Correlate with COVID-19 Death Rates by Christopher R. Knittel and Bora Ozaltun #27391
  141. Black Lives Matter Protests, Social Distancing, and COVID-19 by Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, and Samuel Safford #27408
  142. The Political Scar of Epidemics by Cevat Giray Aksoy, Barry Eichengreen, and Orkun Saka #27401
  143. Racial Disparity in COVID-19 Deaths: Seeking Economic Roots with Census Data by John McLaren #27407

    June 29

  144. Back to Business and (Re)employing Workers? Labor Market Activity During State COVID-19 Reopenings by Wei Cheng, Patrick Carlin, Joanna Carroll, Sumedha Gupta, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Ian M. Schmutte, Olga Scrivner, Kosali I. Simon, Coady Wing, and Bruce Weinberg #27419
  145. Epidemics in the Neoclassical and New Keynesian Models by Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt #27430
  146. COVID-19 and the Demand for Online Food Shopping Services: Empirical Evidence from Taiwan by Hung-Hao Chang and Chad Meyerhoefer #27427
  147. What Jobs are Being Done at Home During the Covid-19 Crisis? Evidence from Firm-Level Surveys by Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton #27422
  148. Implications of the Covid-19 Pandemic for State Government Tax Revenues by Jeffrey Clemens and Stan Veuger #27426
  149. Pandemic Shocks and Fiscal-Monetary Policies in the Eurozone: COVID-19 Dominance During January – June 2020 by Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin, and Joshua Aizenman #27451
  150. Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19 by Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp, and Venky Venkateswaran #27439
  151. How Did COVID-19 and Stabilization Policies Affect Spending and Employment? A New Real-Time Economic Tracker Based on Private Sector Data by Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, Nathaniel Hendren, Michael Stepner, and The Opportunity Insights Team #27431
  152. Early Evidence on the Impact of COVID-19 and the Recession on Older Workers by Truc Thi Mai Bui, Patrick Button, and Elyce G. Picciotti #27448
  153. Fear, Lockdown, and Diversion: Comparing Drivers of Pandemic Economic Decline 2020 by Austan Goolsbee and Chad Syverson #27432
  154. Optimal Lockdown in a Commuting Network by Pablo Fajgelbaum, Amit Khandelwal, Wookun Kim, Cristiano Mantovani, and Edouard Schaal #27441

    July 6

  155. Older People are Less Pessimistic about the Health Risks of Covid-19 by Pedro Bordalo, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer #27494
  156. The Impact of COVID-19 on Small Business Owners: Continued Losses and the Partial Rebound in May 2020 by Robert W. Fairlie #27462
  157. The Determinants of Fiscal and Monetary Policies During the Covid-19 Crisis by Efraim Benmelech and Nitzan Tzur-Ilan #27461
  158. Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession by Francis X. Diebold #27482

    July 13

  159. Messages on COVID-19 Prevention in India Increased Symptoms Reporting and Adherence to Preventive Behaviors Among 25 Million Recipients with Similar Effects on Non-recipient Members of Their Communities by Abhijit Banerjee, Marcella Alsan, Emily Breza, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Abhijit Chowdhury, Esther Duflo, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, and Benjamin A. Olken #27496
  160. Private Precaution and Public Restrictions: What Drives Social Distancing and Industry Foot Traffic in the COVID-19 Era? by Christopher J. Cronin and William N. Evans #27531
  161. COVID-19 and Implications for Automation by Alex W. Chernoff and Casey Warman #27249
  162. Electoral Concerns Reduce Restrictive Measures During the COVID-19 Pandemic by Massimo Pulejo and Pablo Querubín #27498
  163. How Much does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other U.S. Cities by Edward L. Glaeser, Caitlin S. Gorback, and Stephen J. Redding #27519
  164. Did President Trump’s Tulsa Rally Reignite COVID-19? Indoor Events and Offsetting Community Effects by Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, Connor Redpath, and Joseph J. Sabia #27522
  165. Identification and Estimation of Undetected COVID-19 Cases Using Testing Data from Iceland by Karl M. Aspelund, Michael C. Droste, James H. Stock, and Christopher D. Walker #27528

    July 20

  166. Measuring Movement and Social Contact with Smartphone Data: A Real-Time Application to COVID-19 by Victor Couture, Jonathan I. Dingel, Allison E. Green, Jessie Handbury, and Kevin R. Williams #27560
  167. Adaptive Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks in India: Local, Gradual, and Trigger-based Exit Paths from Lockdown by Anup Malani, Satej Soman, Sam Asher, Paul Novosad, Clement Imbert, Vaidehi Tandel, Anish Agarwal, Abdullah Alomar, Arnab Sarker, Devavrat Shah, Dennis Shen, Jonathan Gruber, Stuti Sachdeva, David Kaiser, and Luis M.A. Bettencourt #27532
  168. Projecting Unemployment Durations: A Factor-Flows Simulation Approach With Application to the COVID-19 Recession by Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and John Coglianese #27566
  169. Unintended Consequences of Lockdowns: COVID-19 and the Shadow Pandemic by Saravana Ravindran and Manisha Shah #27562
  170. Federal Aid to School Districts During the COVID-19 Recession by Nora E. Gordon and Sarah J. Reber #27550
  171. Inequality and the Coronavirus: Socioeconomic Covariates of Behavioral Responses and Viral Outcomes Across US Counties by Caitlin S. Brown and Martin Ravallion #27549

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